decomposing-response-into-atomic-claims-applying-post-hoc-temperature-or CLM-0375
mechanismsingle paperReviewed by AI

Decomposing a response into atomic claims and applying post-hoc temperature or Platt scaling to per-claim self-verification/log-probability confidence lowers expected calibration error on straightforward factual QA (TriviaQA) in closed-box settings, but on adversarial false-premise questions (TruthfulQA) it is worse than response-level temperature scaling, because the per-claim score faithfully reports the model's own mistaken confidence rather than correcting it.

Capability: Saying it does not know

Observed on

Closed-box inference-time pipelines with no logits or fine-tuning required for API models; tested on six models (Llama-3.1-8B, Mistral-7B, Qwen2.5-7B, DeepSeek-R1, GPT-4, GPT-4o) o.

Model cards: GPT-4 · GPT-4o

Sources

  • Validated by: ECE, smECE, Brier, AUROC, AURC against seven baselines (few-shot likelihood, CoT, verbalized confidence, PS, TS, LMvsLM, HalluMeasure) on TriviaQA and TruthfulQA across six models; best on GPT-4o/TriviaQA (ECE 0.006 vs 0.096 for TS), worse than TS on TruthfulQA (0.412 vs 0.118).. Measured on two datasets and six models with seven baselines, but results are noisy: the proposed method loses to PS/TS on several TriviaQA rows (Llama ECE 0.200 vs PS 0.013) and the mechanism claim rests mainly on the GPT-4o and DeepSeek-R1 TruthfulQA comparisons with LMvsLM. [truncated]
Reviewed by AI (Claude Opus 5)Last checked: 2026-10-17Evidence activity: not checked yet
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Related claims

Notes

Drafted from the paper by a model and filed unreviewed. Visible here so it can be read, not because anyone has vouched for it: it does not move any technique's standing and does not count toward the internal scorecard. Drafted confidence: low. Falsifier as drafted: A claim-level calibration pipeline using only the model's own confidence signals that matches or beats response-level temperature scaling on false-premise benchmarks across models, without an external probe or retrieval step.