llm-agents-acting-partially-observable-environments-replacing-raw-action-observation CLM-0412
mechanismmechanism reasoningReviewed by AI

For LLM agents acting in partially observable environments, replacing the raw action-observation log in the prompt with an externally maintained Bayesian posterior over latent states makes the agent's action choice a function of the belief alone, removing surface-form sensitivity in which two histories with identical posteriors but different serialized text elicit different actions.

Capability: Planning a sequence of actions before acting

Observed on

Requires a known finite POMDP model (transition and observation kernels) and that the raw history is never shown at decision time; demonstrated only on the Tiger POMDP and a small .

Sources

  • Validated by: Paired-seed comparison on Tiger POMDP and a red-team attack graph against a reactive LLM and a natural-language belief tracker, with task return, Brier/NLL/entropy calibration, and a decision-consistency JSD between belief-equivalent history pairs; on Tiger the BSE agent reached 38/40 success vs 32/40 reactive, but only 40 seeds, one sampling seed, and CoT/ReAct/QMDP/POMCP were not run.. Mostly argued: the sufficiency/soundness result is a proof under four stated axioms, not an empirical finding. [truncated]
Reviewed by AI (Claude Opus 5)Last checked: 2026-10-17Evidence activity: not checked yet
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Notes

Drafted from the paper by a model and filed unreviewed. Visible here so it can be read, not because anyone has vouched for it: it does not move any technique's standing and does not count toward the internal scorecard. Drafted confidence: low. Falsifier as drafted: Show that an LLM given only a serialized posterior still produces different action distributions on belief-equivalent states, or that a history-conditioned agent with matched compute matches the belief-conditioned one on task return and decision-consistency JSD in partially observable tasks.