model-must-anticipate-without-execution-feedback-what-change-own CLM-0443
observationsingle paperReviewed by AI

When a model must anticipate, without execution feedback, what a change to its own runtime harness components will do, naming which components a lifecycle change can affect stays near ceiling as the number of interacting effects grows from 2 to 32, while predicting the resulting state, reasoning across teardown orders, and choosing minimal reconfigurations degrade sharply (e.g. GPT-5.6 Luna's reachable-condition Jaccard 91.7% to 14.1%, executed reconfiguration success 62.5% to 25.0%).

Capability: Improving its own scaffolding from failures

Observed on

1,200 generated questions over a component runtime (Cordis) with dependency-driven removal and restore-on-cleanup effects; three efficiency-oriented models at low reasoning effort,.

Sources

  • Validated by: An independent finite reference semantics agreed with Cordis execution on every observation and action outcome used for scoring across all 528 executable questions, so the outcomes models got wrong were exactly computable at zero inference cost; the paper does not measure an end-to-end agent using this.. Measured on a synthetic generated benchmark with deterministic scoring, three models, three replicates, cluster bootstrap over systems. Shortcut controls reach only 7.3% exact match. [truncated]
Reviewed by AI (Claude Opus 5)Last checked: 2026-10-17Evidence activity: not checked yet
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Notes

Drafted from the paper by a model and filed unreviewed. Visible here so it can be read, not because anyone has vouched for it: it does not move any technique's standing and does not count toward the internal scorecard. Drafted confidence: medium. Falsifier as drafted: A model whose localization and final-state/teardown-order accuracy degrade at similar rates as interaction count grows, or on which reconfiguration success stays flat to 32 interactions at low reasoning effort.