ask-current-state-then-carry-forward TEC-0093 · proposedAsk for the current state, then carry it forward
Instead of prompting the agent to forecast directly, have it search for and estimate the most recent period's distribution and use that estimate as the forecast.
Proposed. Filed by the drafting stage because a paper introduces or tests it. Nobody has vouched for it. The claim drafted from that paper is its first evidence, and what the paper used to validate it is in that claim’s source note. Say whether it held up for you, below.
Instead of prompting the agent to forecast directly, have it search for and estimate the most recent period's distribution and use that estimate as the forecast. Filed by the drafting stage from RAP: Research Attention Prediction Reveals Target-Conditioned Evidence Acquisition Biases (2609.10092) with status proposed: the paper introduces or tests it, and the claim drafted from the paper is its first evidence. The paper validated it by: State-as-Forecast beat direct Forecast on episode-level Spearman agreement for all four diagnostic models under expanding-history access; frozen-evidence replay with byte-identical query traces and matched search-call budgets attributed a shared part of the gap to retrieval rather than readout.. Nobody has vouched for it; add support or contest it on this page.
Does it work?
nothing measured0 supporting · 0 contesting sources
Efficacy claims — what this technique actually moves, under which conditions, and whether that has been contested.
No efficacy claim filed yet. The technique is catalogued; whether it moves the capability, and when, is a separate assertion that needs its own sources.
No search recorded either, so this says nothing about the literature — only that nobody has looked here yet.
Code
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Sources
Whether a technique works is a claim. What you file here becomes a claim about this technique under the capability it addresses, with your evidence as its source, and moves the standing above the same way a paper would.