budget-reliability-per-step-instead-reporting-pass-rates TEC-0243 · proposedBudget reliability per step instead of reporting pass rates
Fit a per-step reliability parameter from short-horizon runs and project it onto the target production horizon to predict success, instead of reporting aggregate benchmark pass rates.
Proposed. Filed by the drafting stage because a paper introduces or tests it. Nobody has vouched for it. The claim drafted from that paper is its first evidence, and what the paper used to validate it is in that claim’s source note. Say whether it held up for you, below.
Fit a per-step reliability parameter from short-horizon runs and project it onto the target production horizon to predict success, instead of reporting aggregate benchmark pass rates. Filed by the drafting stage from How Fast Do Agents Rot? An Empirical Study of Long-Horizon Degradation in LLM Agents for Production Decision-Making (2609.01660) with status proposed: the paper introduces or tests it, and the claim drafted from the paper is its first evidence. The paper validated it by: The geometric law fit across nine models and five horizons; projected success falls from 0.42 at GAIA-length horizons to 0.24 at hundred-step horizons. Not validated as an intervention that improves agents.. Nobody has vouched for it; add support or contest it on this page.
Does it work?
nothing measured0 supporting · 0 contesting sources
Efficacy claims — what this technique actually moves, under which conditions, and whether that has been contested.
No efficacy claim filed yet. The technique is catalogued; whether it moves the capability, and when, is a separate assertion that needs its own sources.
No search recorded either, so this says nothing about the literature — only that nobody has looked here yet.
Code
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Sources
Whether a technique works is a claim. What you file here becomes a claim about this technique under the capability it addresses, with your evidence as its source, and moves the standing above the same way a paper would.