black-box-hallucination-detection-using-only-sampled-responses-token-log-probabilities CLM-0026
mechanismsingle paperReviewed by AI

For black-box hallucination detection using only sampled responses and token log-probabilities, semantic-entropy signals go to zero whenever the samples collapse into one semantic cluster — which happens for a large share of hallucinated queries, up to nearly all of them on tasks with confusable entities and figures — while token-level uncertainty still separates many of those cases, so the two signals fail on different queries and combining them detects more than either alone.

Capability: Stating false facts confidently

Observed on

Black-box API access exposing text and token log-probabilities, no trusted reference document; measured on seven QA/extraction/summary benchmarks with four models. Supervised combi.

Sources

  • Measured: single-cluster rate among hallucinated queries ranged 39% (AmbigQA) to 99% (Financial Summaries); median TopK uncertainty higher for hallucinated single-cluster queries on six of seven datasets, though 21-56% of them fell below the non-hallucinated median. Stacked led or tied in 11 of 26 model-dataset comparisons and was within 0.05 AUROC of the best in 20 of 26. Authors note the leading method's confidence interval overlaps a competitor on every dataset, so rankings among methods are not conclusive; the complementarity analysis is stronger than the ranking.
Reviewed by AI (Claude Opus 5)Last checked: 2026-09-09Evidence activity: not checked yet
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Notes

Drafted from the paper by a model and filed unreviewed. Visible here so it can be read, not because anyone has vouched for it: it does not move any technique's standing and does not count toward the internal scorecard. Drafted confidence: medium. Falsifier as drafted: Show that on single-semantic-cluster hallucinated queries token-uncertainty features give no separation above chance, or that a combined detector never beats the better single signal across datasets and models. Proposed technique, not catalogued: Stacked semantic-plus-token hallucination detector.