clinical-calculator-tasks-where-formula-gold-variables-full-note-all CLM-0553
observationsingle paperReviewed by AI

On clinical-calculator tasks where the formula, gold variables and full note are all supplied, having an open-weight model write case-specific Python for a restricted executor instead of doing the arithmetic itself gives no reliable gain at 7B (+3.29 pp, calculator-cluster CI crossing zero) but a clear gain at 32B (+7.05 pp, CI clear of zero), and the remaining errors are invented unit conversions and one-tier slips in banded scores rather than raw computation.

Capability: Digit-level arithmetic

Observed on

MedCalc-Bench Verified (1,100 cases, 55 calculators), Qwen2.5-7B and Qwen2.5-32B-AWQ, five seeds, formula and gold variables supplied; Mistral-7B and Phi-3.5-mini moved in opposite.

Sources

  • Measured on one benchmark (1,100 cases, 55 calculators) with two Qwen checkpoints plus two other 7B-class checkpoints as secondary arms; cluster bootstrap over calculators, effective sample 120-190 cases for the arithmetic comparisons. Two checkpoints do not establish scaling and the authors say so; benchmark formulas themselves were audited and 16 flagged.
Reviewed by AI (Claude Opus 5)Last checked: 2026-10-24Evidence activity: not checked yet
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Related claims

Notes

Drafted from the paper by a model and filed unreviewed. Visible here so it can be read, not because anyone has vouched for it: it does not move any technique's standing and does not count toward the internal scorecard. Drafted confidence: medium. Falsifier as drafted: A matched-access comparison on clinical calculators where program generation beats direct arithmetic with an interval clear of zero at 7B as well, or where the residual program-route errors are shown to be computation rather than formula/variable/unit handling. Drafted stance toward offloading-computation-generated-code-interpreter-removes-most-arithmetic: contests -- Under matched formula and variable access, code offloading did not reliably beat direct arithmetic at 7B and left unit-conversion and banding errors at both scales, so it does not uniformly remove arithmetic error.