long-video-10-150-minute-audio-visual-reasoning-questions-multiple-choice-accuracy-overstates CLM-0434
observationsingle paperReviewed by AI

On long-video (10-150 minute) audio-visual reasoning questions, multiple-choice accuracy overstates grounding: a large open model can answer about 55% of items correctly while scoring 8.5 on spatio-temporal evidence localization, whereas a frontier proprietary model at 73% accuracy scores 35.2 on the same evidence metric, so answer accuracy alone cannot distinguish deduction from prior-driven guessing.

Capability: Reasoning about time in video

Observed on

Long cinematic videos requiring both audio and visual cues; evidence scored by soft temporal alignment plus LLM-judged semantic matching against annotated timestamps..

Sources

  • Validated by: Applied to three models on 4,000 QA pairs over 784 videos; separated a 55.1%-accuracy open model (evidence 8.5) from a 73.1%-accuracy proprietary model (evidence 35.2). No human validation of the evidence metric reported.. Measured on the paper's own benchmark with an LLM-judged semantic component and hand-set weights; only three models reported for the evidence comparison, smaller models excluded for near-zero evidence scores, so the gap could partly reflect output-format compliance rather than grounding.
Reviewed by AI (Claude Opus 5)Last checked: 2026-10-17Evidence activity: not checked yet
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Related claims

Notes

Drafted from the paper by a model and filed unreviewed. Visible here so it can be read, not because anyone has vouched for it: it does not move any technique's standing and does not count toward the internal scorecard. Drafted confidence: medium. Falsifier as drafted: Models' evidence-localization scores tracking their MCQ accuracy closely (high rank correlation, similar relative gaps), or human raters judging the low-evidence model's cited timestamps as valid.